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#Technically Speaking: Another Way To Look At Long-Term Bubble Cycles
Yes. We are in a stock market bubble. But what if conventional methods of examining market cycles miss a crucial point? While we often talk about parts of cycles (bull or bear), exploring the...
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What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis?
What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis? The Ten-year U.S. Treasury note yields 1.61%. 10-year high-quality corporate bonds yield 2.09%. The rate on a 30-year mortgage is 3.05%. Despite recent...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 3-19-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 3-19-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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Powell Can’t Raise Rates As Economy Remains On Life-Support 03-20-21
In this issue of “Powell Can’t Raise Rates As Economy Remains On Life-Support.” Market Review And Update Powell Says No Rate Hikes An Economic Coma Portfolio Positioning #MacroView: Is...
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The Fed Has Forced Investors To Take On Excess Risk
Since the “Financial Crisis,” the hope was that inflating asset prices would trickle down into economic growth. Unfortunately, after a decade of monetary interventions and artificially suppressed...
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#Technically Speaking: Is The End Of The Value Trade Near?
The end of the value trade may be near as investors push prices beyond economic growth expectations. Interestingly, it was just last year that I wrote: “The Rotation To Value Is Inevitable.” The...
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Willful Blindness, Societal Rift & Death of the Dollar
Willful Blindness is Driving the Death of the Dollar and Societal Rift “It was assumed, even only a decade ago, that the Fed could not just print money with abandon. It was assumed that the government...
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David Robertson: Buffett’s Boring Stories Of Glory Days.
Warren Buffett’s view of the glory days as part of the much-awaited letter to shareholders. It provided a typical mix of transparent reporting of business results, dollops of investment wisdom, and...
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Seth Levine: Trading Time As A Fractal Experience
Trading Time As A Fractal Experience I’m currently reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s brilliant book The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence (TMM). In it, Mandelbrot makes a case...
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#MacroView: Could A “Transaction Tax” Be A Good Thing?
Could a “transaction tax” be a good thing? I recently discussed why “Free, Isn’t Really Free” regarding the retail investor. While “free trades” have certainly reduced the transaction costs, the...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 3-26-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 3-26-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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Market Rallies On Powell’s “Easy Money” Promise 03-27-21
In this 03-27-21 issue of “Market Rallies On Powell’s Easy Money Promise.” Market Review And Update Powell’s “Easy Money” Promise Stock Buybacks Gone Wild Portfolio Positioning #MacroView: Could A...
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#Technically Speaking: Bulls Run As Liquidity Floods Market
As liquidity floods the market, the bulls continue to run the market. However, was the recent consolidation enough to reset market exuberance? Over the last few weeks, I discussed the weekly “sell...
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Zen and the Art of Risk Management
Zen and the Art of Risk Management “Most investors are primarily oriented toward return, how much they can make and pay little attention to risk, how much they can lose.” –Seth Klarman Growing wealth...
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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 03-31-21
S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 03-31-21 Also, read our commentary on why low rates don’t justify high valuations. Also, read our commentary on why low rates don’t justify high...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 4-2-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 4-2-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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Increasing Equity Exposure As Money Flows Turn Positive 04-02-21
In this 04-02-21 issue of “Increasing Equity Exposure As Money Flows Turn Positive.“ Market Review And Update Cognitive Dissonance Valuations Dictate Long-Term Returns Portfolio Positioning...
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Survey Of Retail Investors Shows The Blind Lead The Blind.
In retail investing, do the “blind lead the blind?” Such was a question I asked recently about young investors who are “Long Confidence And Short Experience.” However, a recent survey by MagnifyMoney...
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#Technically Speaking: Despite Correction, Investors Are Exuberant
Despite the recent correction in the markets, leading to a hedge fund imploding, investors remain exuberant. The hopes for more stimulus, government spending, and Fed liquidity displace fears of a...
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Inflation: Making the Complex, Simple – Part 1
Inflation: Making the Complex Simple Part 1 The quarterback signals for the Y receiver in the trips formation to shift left toward the right tackle. At the same time, the running back moves to the...
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