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The Only Reason To Be “Bearish” Is “No One Is Bearish”
I had to do a double-take recently when reading a CNBC headline that stated: “The only reason to be bearish is there’s no reason to be bearish.” It is indeed hard to argue the point. As the article...
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Technically Speaking: Blowing Up The “Everything Bubble”
Recently, I discussed the “Two Pins That Pop The Bubble,” specifically noting the risk of rising interest rates and inflation. However, the real threat is not just the stock market bubble’s deflation...
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Will “Go Crazy” Drive The Bear Out Of Hibernation?
Will “Go Crazy” Drive The Bear Out Of Hibernation? The economy will “go crazy” this summer.” There is not a day that goes by in which we do not hear an economic forecast with an extreme optimism based...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 2-26-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 2-26-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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#MacroView: Powell Changes The Rules On QE.
The markets took a tumble to start this week as rising interest rates and inflationary pressures begin to weigh on outlooks. Those worries quickly diminished as Jerome Powell changed the rules to...
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Seth Levine: Using Gamestop To Uncover Biases
Using Gamestop To Uncover Biases 2021 sure picked up from where 2020 left off. As if things couldn’t get any crazier than a global pandemic, a group of retail investors seemingly organized an epic...
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Despite The Fed, The Bond Market Is Hiking Rates 02-26-21
In this issue of “Despite The Fed, The Bond Market Is Hiking Rates.” Market Review And Update Bond Market Is Hiking Rates Why Higher Rates Are A Real Problem Portfolio Positioning #MacroView: Why...
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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 02-28-21
S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 02-28-21 Also, read our commentary on why low rates don’t justify high valuations. Also, read our commentary on why low rates don’t justify high...
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Technically Speaking: Topping Patterns Popping Up Everywhere
As I worked through this past weekend’s newsletter, I noticed that multiple markets are starting to exhibit topping patterns. It will be crucial for markets to reverse these patterns in the short-term...
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Is Plinko The Best The Fed Can Do?
Is Plinko The Best The Fed Can Do? Plinko was made famous on the TV show The Price is Right. To play the game, a contestant drops a coin into one of the many slots at the top of the Plinko board. Then...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 3-05-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 3-05-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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Market Stumbles As Rising Rates Undermine Outlooks 03-05-21
In this issue of “Market Stumbles As Rising Rates Undermine Outlooks.” Market Review And Update Jerome Powell Disappoints Topping Patterns Suggest Caution Portfolio Positioning #MacroView: Feedback...
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Eric Hickman: A Signal To Buy 30-Year Bonds
Eric Hickman discusses the recent signal to buy 30-year bonds. A technical indicator with a reliable history is signaling that 30-year Treasury yields will soon decline. A relative strength index (RSI)...
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Retail Investors Are Long Confidence And Short Experience
In a “market mania,” retail investors are generally “long confidence” and “short experience” as the bubble inflates. While we often believe each “time” is different, it rarely is. It is only the...
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Technically Speaking: The Bull Market Is On Shaky Ground
Last week’s sell-off left the “bull market” on shaky ground. The big question for investors at the moment is whether the 11-year old bull market is ending or is this just a “pause that refreshes?”...
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It’s Time To Do The Twist Again
“Come on let’s twist again, Like we did last summer! Yeaaah, let’s twist again, Like we did last year!” – Chubby Checker During the last half of 2020, bond yields were flat-lining at historically...
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Eric Lytikainen: Beware of the Ides of March?
Should Stock Investors Beware of the Ides of March? The “Ides of March” is a notorious day in the western world. March 15th is traditionally believed to be the day that Julius Caesar was assassinated...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 3-12-21
What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 3-12-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you...
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Bulls “Rush In” With More Stimulus On The Way 03-12-21
In this issue of “Bulls ‘Rush In’ With More Stimulus On The Way 03-12-21.” Market Review And Update Speculation Alive And Well Yes, Rising Rates Will Matter Portfolio Positioning #MacroView: Yellen’s...
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Payment For Order Flow & The Fleecing Of The Retail Investor
The fleecing of retail investors continues as “payment for order flow” expands. Payment for order flow (PFOF) is not new. Previously, in a less connected world of instantaneous data flows, PFOF was...
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