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Oil Sends A “Crude Warning” 11-23-18
Oil Sends A “Crude Warning” Daily, Weekly, Monthly View Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Oil Sends A “Crude...
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The Worst Place To Be For Bond Investors
Last week, Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine Funds noted in a webcast that investment grade corporate bonds are terrible. There is no way to win with them, he said. As much as half the investment grade...
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GM Cuts 14,700 Jobs As Auto Bubble Begins To Burst
On Monday, General Motors announced that it will cut 14,700 jobs or 15% of its North American workforce in addition to closing three assembly plants and two other facilities: In the most far-reaching...
View ArticleKass: My 15 Surprises For 2019
White House Politics: (When asked what he wanted to give thanks for during a press gaggle Thanksgiving Thursday, Trump responded), “for having a great family and for having made a tremendous difference...
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Technically Speaking: The Difference Between A Bull & Bear Market
Wall Street loves to label stuff. When markets are rising it’s a “bull market.” Conversely, falling prices are a “bear market.” Interestingly, while there are some “rules of thumb” for falling prices...
View ArticleWhy We Sold Apple Stock
Our firm bought Apple shares for clients’ portfolios in 2013, and we are used to being a contrarian voice when it comes to the stock (read here and here) — we loved it when it was hated. Now we are...
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United Technologies (UTX) Faces Reality- Will Other Companies Follow Suit...
On November 27, 2018, the CFO from United Technologies (UTX) stated that his company will focus on deleveraging and not stock buybacks. This announcement comes as General Electric (GE) is struggling...
View ArticleINTERVIEW: Lawrence Lepard & The Lessons Of History
In a recent interview with Lawrence Lepard we dig down into the lessons of history to discern what will be the probable outcomes in the future for investors. Lawrence Lepard has a long history as a...
View ArticleINTERVIEW: Kevin Smith – Crescat Capital Management
I got a chance to sit down with the CIO of Crescat Capital Management, Kevin Smith, in a wide ranging interview about the economy, the markets, interest rates and the forward risks to investors in the...
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Lessons From Thanksgiving Dinner
Talking to friends and family at Thanksgiving dinner made me realize how unprepared for volatility investors are. The gathering I attended was filled with a wide mix of investors, from the young and...
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Kass: The Is Nothing Like Price To Change Sentiment
“Tops are a process, bottoms are an event.” – Wall Street adage It is remarkable to me how, as Divine Ms. M puts it, “There is nothing like price to change sentiment.” Some of the same people in the...
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Weekend Reading: The Powell Put
All it took was two 10% stock market corrections in a single year and some heavy “browbeating” from President Trump to reverse Jerome Powell’s hawkish stance on hiking interest rates. On Wednesday,...
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Did The “Powell Put” Change Anything? 11-30-18
Did The “Powell Put” Change Anything? Daily, Weekly, Monthly View Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Did The “Powell...
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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 11-30-18
J. Brett Freeze, CFA, founder of Global Technical Analysis. Each month Brett will provide you their valuable S&P 500 Valuation Chart Book. This unique analysis provides an invaluable long term...
View ArticleKass: China’s “Trump & Dump” or “He Said, Xi Said”
“I will eat my hat if this means anything substantive”… as “neither side is fully ready for war, but neither side will budge.” – Michael Every, Rabobank’s Head of Asia financial markets Xi is the “Wolf...
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Misdiagnosing The Risk Of Margin Debt
This past week, Mark Hulbert wrote an article discussing the recent drop in margin debt. To wit: “Plunging margin debt may not doom the bull market after all, reports to the contrary notwithstanding....
View ArticleManaging “Mr. Market” With Howard Marks
I went on a long distance drive for Thanksgiving – Houston to Southern California and back. I don’t recommend doing that unless you have two full weeks. It’s 1500 miles each way, which means you should...
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Technically Speaking: Is The Bull Back, Or Is It A “Bull Trap?”
In this past weekend’s missive, “Did The Powell Put Change Anything?,” I discussed the surge in the market following Jerome Powell’s change of stance on Fed policy and the potential for a Trump to...
View ArticleThe Market Doesn’t Care How “Fantastic” Your Stocks Are
The Roman philosopher Seneca wasn’t talking about the stock market when he wrote that “Time discovers truth,” but he could have been. In the long run a stock price will reflect a company’s (true)...
View ArticleDon’t Forget “Supply”&“Demand” As A Driver Of Stock Prices
The stock market’s roller coaster ride this year is beginning to cause a certain amount of apprehension among investors. What has prompted the recent weakness? Is the recent decline just another bump...
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