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Bitcoin: Investment Or Speculation? Let’s Talk
“People often make suboptimal decisions for a variety of reasons, including incomplete accounting of costs and benefits, partial risk understanding, and flawed assumptions regarding the probabilities...
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An Unhealthy Absence Of Doubt & Fear
Doubt and fear remain absent from Wall Street despite the specter of numerous potentially adverse economic, interest rate, inflationary, political, geopolitical and market outcomes. Exaggerating the...
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The Rude Awakening Of Slumbering Bulls
Near the end of each year, Barron’s magazine highlights the outlooks for the next year from 10, or so, Wall Street strategists. As noted recently by Sentiment Trader: “Strategists are a little more...
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Weekend Reading: Ignorance Is No Excuse
The “tax bill cometh.” According to the press, this is going to be the single biggest factor to jump-starting economic growth since the invention of the wheel. Interestingly, even the Fed’s economic...
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“All In” On Tax Reform – 12-15-17
Review & Update Final Tax Bill Details Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Review & Update In last week’s...
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Tax Reform & The “Japanification” Of America
On Friday, Kevin Brady of the House Ways and Means Committee was on my radio program discussing the “Tax Cuts & Jobs Act” bill which was released later in the day. Here are the details of the...
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Kass: 15-Surprises For 2018
“The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As...
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Why Do Big-Box Financial Firms Hire Investment Strategists?
“We still have reason to celebrate the economic principles of that first Thanksgiving of nearly 400 years ago. The productive and efficient U.S. economy has absorbed some hits this year, but has...
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Is A Company You Own Making A Dumb Acquisition
As a shareholder, you do well to place more emphasis on risk than on reward. Corporate management usually does the opposite, and this is why most large acquisitions fail. In fact, I assume from the...
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3-(Mis)Statements About Tax Reform
With the passage of the Tax Cut And Jobs Act on Wednesday, I wanted to address a few of the questions and misinformation currently circulating about the impact of tax cuts on the U.S. economy. Over...
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There’s A Sucker Born Every Minute
“Without promotion, something terrible happens … Nothing!” -P.T. Barnum There is no scarcity in cyberspace, especially no scarcity in stupidity. Overnight, the price of bitcoin fell by more than 11%...
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Yes, Virginia, There Is A “Santa Rally”– 12-22-17
Yes, Virginia, There Is A Santa Claus Santa Rally? Dot Com 2.0 Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Yes, Virgina, There...
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Technically Speaking: It’s A Wrap
In last week’s Technical Update, I discussed the similarities between 1999, 2007 and currently. To wit: “With the markets within striking distance of Nasdaq 7000, Dow 25000 and S&P 2700, all three...
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Squeezing the Consumer from Both Sides
The Federal Reserve raised the Federal Funds rate on December 13, 2017, marking the fifth increase over the last two years. Even with interest rates remaining at historically low levels, the Fed’s...
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Natural Time Cycles: A Dow Forecast For 2018-2020
“TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and...
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The Top 34 Reads Of 2017
As we wrap up 2017, all of us at Real Investment Advice would like to share our appreciation for your readership over the past year. Due to your readership, we have been able to grow our site from its...
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2017 Sets A Record – 12-29-17
It’s A Record Rules Of The Road Part II Portfolio Update Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha A Quick Note 2017 was a terrific year for Real Investment Advice as we...
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Technically Speaking: Revisiting Bob Farrell’s 10-Rules
As I noted this past weekend, 2017 was a year for the record books. Not surprisingly, the strong advance fostered a surge in investor optimism which pushed allocations to equities to the second...
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A World Without Risk? Not Really!
Markets tend to make opinions. There is a strong inclination and nature to extrapolate as “group stink“ is the favorite market odor. So, it can be expected that most investors enter the year...
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Investment Outlook 2018
The following outlook provides our investment thoughts for the coming year. We did not include specific recommended asset allocation weightings for the major asset classes, as they will be part of...
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