Clik here to view.
Technically Speaking: How Big Could A Correction Be?
“There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of her citizens cannot cure.” – Dwight D. Eisenhower “If we just stick together, and remain true to our...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Fed’s Definition of Price Stability is Likely Different than Yours
The Federal Reserve Act, as mandated by Congress, established a dual mandate of price stability and maximizing employment to guide the Federal Reserve (Fed) in setting monetary policy. Price...
View ArticleClik here to view.
7-Myths Of Investing
Over the years, I have regularly addressed the psychological and emotional pitfalls which ultimately lead individual investors to poor outcomes. The internet is regularly littered with a stream of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Weekend Reading: Oil & Retail Send A Warning
There are two important areas of the market that have historically been good leading indicators of the strength, or weakness, of the markets and the economy. Oil and retail. Currently, both areas are...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Bears Gain On The Bulls 07-07-17
Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud MISS THE LATEST WEBINAR? See All Our Previous Web/Seminars Here Another Volatile Week With Little Progress Approaching A “Bond Buying”...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Clarity or Confusion
“Are you kidding? Are you kidding? No one knows what you’re doing.” – Economist John Taylor in response to William Dudley’s (President Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Vice Chairman of the Federal...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Data Says Fed Is Making A Mistake
Data Says Fed Is Making A Mistake In their policy announcement last week, the members of the FOMC claimed: “Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Weekend Reading: Oil Slick
Beginning in December of last year, following the announcement by OPEC of a cut in oil production, I have discussed the “headwinds” that persist against a sustained rise in oil prices. “The...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Breakout Failure As Resistance Holds 06-23-17
Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud MISS THE LATEST WEBINAR? See All Our Previous Web/Seminars Here Rally Failure Sector By Sector 401k Plan Manager Last week, I discussed the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Signs Of Excess: Crowding & Innovation
I have regularly written about the many shortcomings of human psychology when it comes to investing. More importantly, while the emotions of “greed” and “fear” are the predominant drivers of not only...
View ArticleClik here to view.
#FP: Why I Left A “Big Box” Firm
I’ve just embarked on a new journey. Not a new career. Not a new job title or even a greater income. (Well at least for now, I hope.) What I did embark on is the chance to really make some changes and...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Return Of The “Minsky Moment”
“The emergence of money manager capitalism means that the financing of the capital development of the economy has taken a back seat to the quest for short-run total returns.” – Circa 1992. Wall Street...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Technically Speaking: Valuation Measures & Forward Returns
On the “Real Investment Hour” on Tuesday night, I addressed the issue of price versus fundamentals. In the short-term, a period of one-year or less, political, fundamental, and economic data has very...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Decoding Yellen’s Message
“I know you think you understand what you thought I said, but I’m not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant” – Alan Greenspan On July 12, 2017 in her semiannual testimony to...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Yellen, Employment & Policy Errors
In Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimony on Capitol Hill yesterday, she made reference to the ongoing strength of employment as one of the reasons for continuing to “normalize” monetary policy by...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Weekend Reading: Yellen Lets Doves Fly
As I noted in yesterday’s missive, Yellen’s recent testimony on Capitol Hill sent robots frantically chasing asset prices on Thursday even before testimony began. The catalyst was the release of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Bulls Run On Yellen’s Easy Money 07-14-17
Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud MISS THE LATEST WEBINAR? See All Our Previous Web/Seminars Here Stocks Pop On Yellen Testimony Next Stop 2500 or 3000? Volatility Long...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings At Risk
As we get into the midst of the Q2 earnings season, we can take a closer look at the results through the 1st quarter of the year. Despite the exuberance from the media over the “number of companies...
View ArticleClik here to view.
4-Ways To Blow Your Retirement
You’ve done all the right things. There was that formal retirement analysis 5-7 years before your anticipated target date, a consistent plan of saving, investing, and portfolio risk management coupled...
View ArticleClik here to view.
5-Things You Aren’t Being Told About HSA’s
With the current health care bill yo-yoing between picking up momentum and flaming out altogether there has been a lot of noise about Health Savings Accounts or HSA’s for short. The role or lack of...
View Article
