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Market Trends, Reversions & Analysis 02-03-17

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50% Correction Is Impossible! Really?

There is little doubt currently that complacency reigns in the financial markets. Nowhere is that complacency more evident than in the Market Greed/Fear Index which combines the 4-measures of investor...

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Technically Speaking: The “Super Bowl” Party Conversation Indicator

This past weekend I was at a “Super Bowl” party in my neighborhood. As a money manager, I like parties as they are a rather insightful indicator of the current psychology of the “average investor.”...

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#FPW: The 7-Financial Planning Traps To Avoid

Financial planning gets a bum rap. Or no rap at all. After all, the process lacks excitement. There are none of the day-to-day highs and lows of the stock market. No sizzle. Financial planning doesn’t...

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The Lowest Common Denominator

The Lowest Common Denominator: Debt At a recent investment conference, hedge fund billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller predicted that interest rates would continue rising. Specifically, he suggested...

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3 Things: Better Use Of P/E, Loans & Too Quiet

A Better Way To Use P/E’s There has been an ongoing debate about market valuations and the current state of the financial markets. On one hand, the “bulls” use forward price-earnings ratios to justify...

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Weekend Reading: Fed Up

As discussed yesterday, the markets have been quiet. Too quiet. That makes me worry as generally when volatility resurfaces it has not been kind to investors in the short-term. But despite the lack of...

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Bulls Remain In Charge 02-10-17

Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud MISS THE LATEST WEBINAR? See All Our Previous Web/Seminars Here ATTENTION: REGISTRATION NOW OPEN The 2017 Economic & Investment Summit...

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Deep Thoughts From Howard Marks

One of my favorite investing legends is Oaktree Management’s, Howard Marks. His investing wisdom have been a major source of education over the years and his deep knowledge and understanding of...

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Technically Speaking: Riddle Me This

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed my remembrances of the Riddler in the original Batman series and how he would pose riddles to the dynamic duo as they faced the certain demise. In that...

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Fed Up – A Look Behind the Curtain

Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Dallas Federal Reserve official, released a new book this week entitled Fed Up. The book, a first-person account of the inner-workings of the Federal Reserve (Fed),...

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3 Things: Fake News, Net Positioning, Buying Panic

  #FakeNews In Investing I regularly push back on the “buy and hold” investing meme because while it works in “theory,” reality has a far different outcome. This is not my opinion, it is the reality of...

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Weekend Reading: Deja Vu

As discussed yesterday, the exuberance in the markets, as witnessed by the net positioning of large speculators, has reached records on both ends of the spectrum. Those extremes, combined with spiking...

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As Bulls Continue To Run, Signs Of Stress Appear 02-17-17

Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud MISS THE LATEST WEBINAR? See All Our Previous Web/Seminars Here ATTENTION: REGISTRATION NOW OPEN The 2017 Economic & Investment Summit...

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6 Reasons To “Buy” This Bull Market…Or Not

Last week Frank Chaparro penned an interesting note: “It looks like this bull market just won’t quit. Friday marked the 2,003rd trading day since the stock market rally began back in 2009, making it...

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You Can’t Time The Market?

Since the markets were closed on Monday, there really isn’t much to update from this past weekend’s newsletter. The markets remain clearly and undeniably overbought and the risk of a short-term...

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The Sure Thing

The New England Patriots pulled off a stunning come-from-behind victory in Super Bowl LI, and one that was truly unprecedented in American football. Throughout modern NFL history, playoff teams that...

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#FPW: Why Your Retirement Plan May Be In Danger

In 2004, I was fortunate to discover the unique financial planning body of work created by Canadian-based planner and Chartered Market Technician Jim Otar at an investment conference. His strategy...

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Valuations Matter – Even For Millennial Investors

A friend reached out to me today and asked me a simple question: “If the average person gets a $3000 tax refund every year and then invests the refund into the S&P 500, what would their end result...

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Weekend Reading: Errant Thinking

Last week, I penned a post entitled “You Can’t Time The Market?” which was subsequently picked up on the Seeking Alpha website. It is always interesting for me to read the comments on the articles as...

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