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The Bullish Test Comes As Earnings Season Begins 07-03-20
In this issue of, “The Bullish Test Comes As Earnings Season Begins:” A Breakout Of Consolidation Updated Estimates As Earnings Begin A Quick Note On The Jobs Report Portfolio Positioning MacroView:...
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The Death Of Fundamentals & The Future Of Low Returns
Over the last quarter, the “Death of Fundamentals” has become apparent as investors ignore earnings to chase market momentum. However, throughout history, such large divergences between fundamentals...
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Tesla’s Moonshot, How High Can It Go?
Tesla’s Moonshot, How High Can It Go? Since the beginning of 2020, the aggregate market cap of the twelve largest automakers is up 9.30% to $803 billion. Quite an increase considering the COVID...
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Depression Or Roaring 20’s. Everybody Is Wrong.
I’ve been pondering all the “analysis” out there on the current economic and investment landscape and can only shake my head. That’s SMH, for you youngsters. What I see are coexisting comments for a...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 07-10-20
What You Missed On RIA This Week. It’s been a long week, and you probably didn’t have time to dive into all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. It’s OK, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t...
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#MacroView: The Threats To The Bullish Thesis Have Grown
Since the March lows, the markets have rallied on optimism of a “V-shaped” economic recovery and constant stimulus from the Fed. So far, that has been the right call. However, in recent weeks, the...
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This Is Nuts…Again. Reducing Risk As Tech Goes 1999 07-11-20
In this issue of, “This Is Nuts…Again. Reducing Risk As Tech Goes 1999.” Twice In One Year Fundamentally Detached A Very Narrow Market Portfolio Positioning MacroView: The Fed Has Inflated Another...
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Technically Speaking: “Golden Cross” Arrives, Are The Bulls Safe?
In this week’s “Technically Speaking,” the “Golden Cross” arrives, but are the bulls safe? As noted two weeks ago, is the 50/200 dma crossover is historically bullish for equities. However, with...
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Passive Fingerprints Are All Over This Crazy Market
Passive Fingerprints Are All Over This Crazy Market Apple’s stock is up over 20% since the market peak in February. Without a doubt, Apple, the company, is worse off due to the crisis and global...
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Robertson: Market Review Q2-2020 – Calibrating The Craziness
Market Review Q2-2020 – Calibrating The Craziness After a record drawdown in the first quarter and a record rebound in the second quarter, no one is disputing that the first half of 2020 has been...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 07-17-20
What You Missed On RIA This Week. It’s been a long week, and you probably didn’t have time to dive into all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. It’s OK, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t...
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#MacroView: Value Is Dead. Long Live Value Investing
Value (investing) is dead. Long live value investing. Such certainly seems to be the mantra as investors continue to pile into growth stocks while rationalizing valuations using methodologies which...
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Stocks Struggle As The Bull Market In Virus Cases Rises 07-17-20
In this issue of, “Stocks Struggle As The Bull Market In Virus Cases Rises” Technically Trapped Economic Expectations Slow Who Ya Gonna Believe The Risk Of Confirmation Bias MacroView: Value Is Dead....
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The Odds Are Stacked Against Investors In A Post-Covid Economy.
Since the March 23rd lows, retail investors have jumped into the equity market with little concern about the potential risk. The “Pavlovian” response to the Fed’s massive monetary interventions has...
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Technically Speaking: 15-Bullish Beliefs (Or Not) For The Market
In this edition of “Technically Speaking” we analyze the 15-bullish beliefs (or not) currently supporting the market. Is this time different? Or should investors be concerned? Bullish Moves Yesterday,...
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Options Risk in the Stock Market
Options risk in the stock market? Over the past two years there has been a growing interest in “options gamma” in the markets. As shown below, Google trends show a surge in interest, spiking around...
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Volatility Is More Than A Number. It’s Everything.
Volatility Is More Than A Number. It’s Everyting. “Volatility” is a pedestrian word on Wall Street. Traders, investors, and the media throw it around as if everyone understands its financial...
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Seth Levine: Reading The Market’s Postmodern Mind
No matter how you slice it, markets are human. This even applies to the “algos” as it’s we who write their mechanistic marching orders. Thus, understanding human behavior can be helpful in assessing...
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 07-24-20
What You Missed On RIA This Week. It’s been a long week, and you probably didn’t have time to dive into all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. It’s OK, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t...
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#MacroView: Navigating The Tech Bubble & Living To Tell About It.
There has been a growing concern over Technology stocks as investors “Party Like It’s 1999.” While no two periods are the same, the outcomes often are. For longer-term investors, if we are amid another...
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